CHAPTER 4 - WHERE HAVE ALL THE CRIMINALS GONE?

 

  • Levitt returns to the discussion of abortion in chapter 4 by citing Romania as an example.
  • After Nicolae Ceausescu became dictator in 1974, he made abortion illegal to increase the population of his nation. Romania had about four abortions per birth before the ban was implemented.
  • One year after the ban, Romanian birth rates doubled, and those children born after the ban were more likely to be criminals.
  • Ceausesus, however, was overthrown and killed in 1989 by protestors (the ones that would not have been born had Ceauseus not implemented his ban) and abortion became legal.
  • The Romanian abortion case was quite opposite of the one in the States.
  • There were many explanations proposed in the 1990s for the sudden drop in crime rates in the States, however only three of the eight theories were proven to be accurate, and the number one cause wasn't even mentioned.
  • "New policing strategies" was one of the famous theories but it was not even implemented well after crime dropped in places.
  • When it was acknowledged that a woman who didn't want a baby had a good reason for not wanting a child, abortion became legal in 1973.
  • In 1980, 1.6 million American women had abortions, and these women were mostly teenagers, and uneducated mothers living in poverty, all of which contributed to the development of a criminal child.
  • In the 1990s, crime rates fell as a result of abortions in the 1970s. Further analysis showed that states with higher abortion rates also experienced lower crime rates in the 1990s.
  • Ultimately, the author states that the most important takeaway of this chapter is how a subtle change can have a major impact.
  • According to him, people are more likely to connect with things they understand than theories and possibilities. As an example, citizens believed that policing strategies led to a drop in crime rates rather than abortion legalization.



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